Evaluación Espaciotemporal de la Peligrosidad en Peatones por Inundaciones Urbanas Basada en un Modelo Hidrodinámico de Drenaje Dual
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15665/rp.v23i2.3757Keywords:
Pedestrian hazard; urban flooding, spatiotemporal assessment, Hydrodynamic modeling, PCSWMMAbstract
Flood events and the associated risks in cities around the world are increasingly gaining attention, becoming a critical factor in developing countries, where the danger posed to pedestrians due to flow instability remains less studied and understood. This research article presents a spatiotemporal assessment of pedestrian hazard due to instability caused by pluvial flooding, based on results obtained from the hydrodynamic modeling of an urban catchment in the city of Cúcuta, Colombia. The model was developed using the Personal Computer Storm Water Management Model (PCSWMM), which allowed the simulation of flow velocity and water depth along streets under flood conditions for different return periods (50 and 100 years). The model was calibrated using observed water depth data derived from computer vision techniques in MATLAB. The hydraulic variables obtained from the hydrodynamic model enabled the analysis of the spatial and temporal variation in pedestrian hazard levels for the different return periods considered in the study. The evaluation identified street segments with high, medium, and low levels of pedestrian hazard and estimated their changes throughout the rainfall event. These results provide valuable insights for local decision-makers to identify areas prone to elevated hazard levels and to support the development of preventive and mitigation strategies in the face of future climate impacts.
References
H. Valencia-Perez, M. Vanegas-Chamorro y R. Ramírez-Restrepo, “Tendencia global en las investigaciones relacionadas con el rendimiento energético por la implementación de techos verdes en edificaciones: Importancia de su desarrollo en la costa Caribe colombiana.”, Prospectiva, vol. 20, n.º 1, pp. 1-15 ,2022. doi.org/10.15665/rp.v20i1.2499
M. C. Cunha, J. A. Zeferino, N. E. Simões, G. L. Santos y J. G. Saldarriaga, "Decision support model for the optimal siting and sizing of storage units in stormwater drainage systems", International Journal of Sustainable Development and Planning, vol. 122-132, n.º 12(1), 2017. Disponible: http://www.witpress.com/journals
UNESCO, UN-Water, “United Nations World Water Development Report 2020: Water and Climate Change”, Paris, 2020. https://unesdoc.unesco.org/ark:/48223/pf0000372985.locale=en
M.T. Gómez Vargas, "Estudio del Impacto del cambio climático en los caudales de entrada al embalse del Río Frío", INGE CUC, vol. 12, no. 1, pp 43-50, 2016. doi.org/10.17981/ingecuc.12.1.2016.04.
Á. López Ramos, L. Martínez Acosta, J. J. Feria Díaz y J. E. Cruz Benedetti, “Planificación del recurso hídrico en la quebrada Aguas Blancas, zona rural de Montería, Córdoba”, Prospectiva, vol. 14, n. 2, pp. 71–80, 2016. doi.org/10.15665/rp.v14i2.567.
E. D. Cubides y G. E. Santos. “Control de escorrentías urbanas mediante sistemas urbanos de drenaje sostenible (SUDS): Pozos/Zanjas de infiltración”, Entre Ciencia e Ingeniería, vol. 12, no. 24, pp. 32-42, 2017. doi.org/10.31908/19098367.3813.
R. A. Castro Padilla, C. E. Jiménez Peñaranda, E. E. Rojas Martínez, D. C. Manco Jaraba y F. D. Lascarro Navarro, “Amenaza y vulnerabilidad por inundación del Brazo de Mompóx (Río Magdalena), corregimiento de Cantera, Bolívar, Colombia”, Prospectiva, vol. 19, n. 2, pp. 1–11, 2021. doi.org/10.15665/rp.v19i2.2712.
G. Musolino, R. Ahmadian y R. A. Falconer. “Comparison of flood hazard assessment criteria for pedestrians with a refined mechanics-based method”, Journal of Hydrology, vol. 9, no. 100067, pp. 1-13, 2020. doi.org/10.1016/j.hydroa.2020.100067.
C. Arrighi, M. Pregnolato, R.J. Dawson, F. Castelli “Preparedness against mobility disruption by floods” Sci. Total, Environ., 654, pp. 1010-1022, 2019. doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.11.191.
D. Rey-Valencia y J. Zambrano, "Estudio de la respuesta hidrológica en la cuenca urbana de montaña San Luis-Palogrande", Uis ingenierías, vol. 17, n. 1, pp. 115–126, 2018. doi.org/10.18273/revuin.v17n1-201801.
E. Martínez Gomariz, "Inundaciones urbanas: Criterios de peligrosidad y evaluación del riesgo para peatones y vehículos", Disertación Ph.D, Dept. Ing. Civil y Ambiental, Univ. Politécnica de Catalunya, Barcelona, 2016. http://hdl.handle.net/2117/106280.
X. Wang, G. Kinsland, D. Poudel y A. Fenech. “Urban flood prediction under heavy precipitation”, J. Hydrol., vol. 577, no. 123984, pp. 1-21, 2019. doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.123984
Naves, J. Anta, J. Puertas, M. Regueiro-Picallo y J. Suárez, “Using a 2D shallow water model to assess Large-Scale Particle Image Velocimetry (LSPIV) and Structure from Motion (SfM) techniques in a street-scale urban drainage physical model”, J. Hydrol., vol. 575, pp. 54–65, 2019. doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.05.003
V. Bellos, I. M. Kourtis, A. Moreno-Rodenas y V. A. Tsihrintzis, "Quantifying Roughness Coefficient Uncertainty in Urban Flooding Simulations through a Simplified Methodology", Water, vol. 9, no. 944, pp. 1–12, 207. 10.3390/w9120944
L. Vargas-Garay, O. Torres-Goyeneche y G. Carrillo-Soto, “Evaluation of SCS - unit hydrograph model to estimate peak flows in watersheds of Norte de Santander”, Respuestas, vol. 24, no. 1, pp. 6-16, 2019.
B. Dong, J. Xia, M. Zhou, Q. Li, R. Ahmadian y R. A. Falconer, "Integrated modeling of 2D urban surface and 1D sewer hydrodynamic processes and flood risk assessment of people and vehicles", Sci. Total Environ., vol. 827, pp. 1-13, 2022. doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154098
M. Oberauer y B. Lehmann, “Enhanced 2D-models as alternative to dual-drainage systems for urban flood simulation”, J. Hydrol., vol. 645, n.º 2, pp. 1–10, 2024. doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2024.132198
J. Xia, R. A. Falconer, B. Lin y G. Tan, “Numerical assessment of flood hazard risk to people and vehicles in flash floods”, Environmental Modelling & Softw., vol. 26, n. 8, pp. 987–998, 2011. doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.02.017
C. Arrighi, H. Oumeraci y F. Castelli, "Hydrodynamics of pedestrians' instability in floodwaters", Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., vol. 21, pp. 515–531, 2017. doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-515-2017
S. Jonkman y E. Penning-Rowsell, "Human instability in flood flows", Journal of the American Water Resources Association, vol. 45, n. 5, pp. 1208–1218, 2008. doi.org/10.1111/j.1752-1688.2008.00217.x
Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), The Floodway: A Guide for Community Permit Officials. Washington D. C, 1979.
D. Ramsbottom et al., “Flood Risk to People: Phase 2. R&D Technical Report FD”, Dept. Environ., Food Rural Affairs (DEFRA), UK Environ. Agency, 2006. doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.1.4663.6246.
B. Russo, “Design of surface drainage systems according to hazard criteria related to flooding of urban áreas”, Disertación Ph.D, Dept. Ing. Civil y Ambiental, Univ. Politécnica de Catalunya, Barcelona. https://dialnet.unirioja.es/servlet/tesis?codigo=258828
J. Xia, R. A. Falconer, Y. Wang y X. Xiao, “New criterion for the stability of a human body in floodwaters”, J. Hydraulic Res., vol. 52, n. 1, pp. 93–104, 2014. doi.org/10.1080/00221686.2013.875073
E. Martínez-Gomariz, M. Gómez y B. Russo, “Experimental study of the stability of pedestrians exposed to urban pluvial flooding”, Nat. Hazards, vol. 82, n. 2, pp. 1259–1278, 2016. doi.org/10.1007/s11069-016-2242-z
Q. Chen, J. Xia, R. A. Falconer y P. Guo, “Further improvement in a criterion for human stability in floodwaters”, J. Flood Risk Manage., vol. 12, n. 3, pp. 1–9, 2019. 10.1111/jfr3.12486
B. Dong, J. Xia, M. Zhou, Q. Li, R. Ahmadian y R. A. Falconer, “Integrated modeling of 2D urban surface and 1D sewer hydrodynamic processes and flood risk assessment of people and vehicles”, Sci. Total Environ., vol. 857, n. 25, p. 154098, 2022. doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.154098
J. Xia, R. A. Falconer, B. Lin y G. Tan, “Numerical assessment of flood hazard risk to people and vehicles in flash floods”, Environmental Modelling & Softw., vol. 26, pp. 987–998, 2011. 10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.02.017
G. Corzo Perez, D. I. Sanchez Tapiero, M. A. Contreras y C. Zevenbergen, “Development of a hazard risk map for assessing pedestrian risk in urban flash floods: A case study in Cúcuta, Colombia”, River, pp. 1–16, 2024. doi.org/10.1002/rvr2.78
S. F. Rodríguez-Corzo, "Simulación dinámica de inundaciones asumiendo un estado crítico de máxima escorrentía, bajo cinco periodos de retorno, en la Quebrada La Virgen del municipio de San José de Miranda- Santander", Uis Ingenierías, vol. 17, n. 1, pp. 251–270, 2017. doi.org/10.18273/revuin.v17n12018025
M. Bernard, "Formulas for rainfall intensities of long durations. trans", ASCE, vol. 96, pp. 592–624. doi.org/10.1061/TACEAT.0004323
A. Nájera-Ramos, "Propuesta Metodológica Para La Generación De Ortofotos Y Modelos Digitales De Elevación De Alta Resolución A Través De Vuelos Con Drones No-Fotogramétricos", Tesis M.S, Fac. Ingeniería, Univ. Autónoma de Guerrero, 2021. http://ri.uagro.mx/bitstream/handle/uagro/2498/TE_851102_2021.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
Agisoft LLC Agisoft Metashape User Manual Professional Edition. (s.f.). Agisoft. https://www.agisoft.com/
Rossman, L. A., & Simon, M. A. (2007). Stormwater Management Model User’s Manual Version 5.2. Environmental Research Agency. https://www.epa.gov/system/files/documents/2022-04/swmm-users-manual-version-5.2.pdf
L. Mohd Sidek, L. H. C. Chua, A. S. M. Azizi, H. Basri, A. S. Jaafar y W. C. Moon, "Application of PCSWMM for the 1-D and 1-D–2-D modeling of urban flooding in damansara catchment, malaysia", Applied Sciences, vol. 11, n. 9300, 2021. doi.org/10.3390/app11199300
CHI. PCSWMM Manual. Guelph, Canadá, Computational Hydraulics International, 2018
J. A. Rojas, “Análisis de incertidumbre y esquemas de calibración de un modelo conceptual de drenaje urbano en un ambiente de escasez de recursos”, Tesis M.S, Dep. Ing. Civil y Ambiental, Fac. Ing., Univ. de los Andes, Bogotá, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/1992/11559
E. Castro, A. Caetano, J. J, da Silva, J. R. Gonçalves, “Evaluation of hydrological parameters of the Goiana River basin in the State of Pernambuco using the automatic calibration tool of the hydrodynamic model PCSWMM in multiple fluviometric stations”, Research, Society and Development, Vol 12, n. 2, pp. 1-24, 2022. doi.org/10.33448/rsd-v11i2.25331.
W. James. (2005). Rules for responsible modeling. (4nd ed.). https://www.chiwater.com/Files/R184_CHI_Rules.pdf
J.M.G.P. Isidoro, R. Martins, R. F. Carvalho, J. L. M. P. de Lima, “A high-frequency low-cost technique for measuring small-scale water level fluctuations using computer visión”, Measurement, vol. 180, pp. 1-12, 2021. doi.org/10.1016/j.measurement.2021.109477.
M. N. A. Beg, R. F. Carvalho, S. Tai, W. Brevis, M. Rubinato, A, Schellart, J. Leandro, “A comparative study of manhole hydraulics using stereoscopic PIV and different RANS models”, Water Sci Technol, vol. 1, pp. 97-98, 2017. doi.org/10.2166/wst.2018.089
D. I. Sanchez-Tapiero, C. A. Peña-Cortés, y J. D. Ramón-Valencia, “Herramienta de apoyo para la calibración de modelos numéricos de sistemas de drenaje en ambientes urbanos empleando procesamiento digital de imágenes.”, Respuestas, vol. 28, n. 1, pp. 46-58, ene. 2023. doi.org/10.22463/0122820X.4417
D. I. Sanchez-Tapiero, C. A. Bonilla-Granados, y J. D. Ramón-Valencia, “Construcción de un modelo hidrológico e hidráulico (1D/2D) para el análisis de inundaciones urbanas en Cúcuta, Colombia”, Respuestas, vol. 29, n. 3, pp. 15-30, sep. 2024. doi.org/10.22463/0122820X.4710.
J. A. Rojas, “Análisis de incertidumbre y esquemas de calibración de un modelo conceptual de drenaje urbano en un ambiente de escasez de recursos”, Tesis M.S, Dep. Ing. Civil y Ambiental, Fac. Ing., Univ. de los Andes, Bogotá, 2011. http://hdl.handle.net/1992/11559
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Diego Ivan Sanchez Tapiero, Carlos Alexis Bonilla Granados, Jarol Derley Ramon Valencia

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
The authors to publish in this journal agree to the following conditions:
- The authors transfer the copyright and give the the journal first publication right of the work registered with Creative Commons Attribution License, which allows third parties to use the published work on the condition of always mentioning the authorship and first publication in this journal.
- The authors may perform other independent and additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the version of the article published in this issue (E.g., Inclusion in an institutional repository or publication in a book), it must be indicated clearly that the work was first published in this journal.
- It allows and encourages the authors to publish their work online (eg institutional or personal pages) before and during the review and publication process. It can lead to productive exchanges and greater and faster dissemination of the published work (see The Effect of Open Access)
Instructions to fill out Certificate of Originality and Copyright Assignment
- Click here and get the forms of Certificate of Originality and Copyright Assignment .
- In each field to fill out, click and complete the corresponding information.
- Once the fields are filled out, at the end of the form copy your scanned signature or digital signature. Please adjust the size of the signature on the form.
- Finally, you can save them as pdf files and send them through the OJS platform as an attachment.
