Costo de diseño hidráulico en edificaciones: una propuesta de estimación asistida por análisis de regresión en Norte de Santander, Colombia
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15665/rp.v22i2.3422Keywords:
Análisis de regresiónAbstract
Hydrosanitary projects in residential construction play a crucial role in ensuring an adequate supply of potable water and efficient management of wastewater. In the comprehensive development of engineering processes for these constructions, it is critical to anticipate economic deficits from the planning phase through a precise assessment of probable costs. This study proposes equation models for early estimation of the cost of studies and design hydrosanitary projects in the Norte de Santander region. Budgetary information was gathered from 120 real projects executed in recent years (2017-2021). Projects were categorized into single-family residences, multifamily residences, and other projects (urbanism), and grouped into datasets for analysis using linear, non-linear, multiple, and polynomial regression. Eight cost estimation equations were obtained with minimum p-values and R² > 0.5. Comparative validation of estimated values against actual project costs revealed a similar trend and acceptable correlation, demonstrating the predictive capacity of the equations in cost evaluation. These equations provide valuable support for project managers targeted in this study, facilitating cost analysis and alternative evaluation.
References
J. J. Arrieta Lozano, “Recomendaciones para Diseño y Optimización de Plantas de Tratamiento de Agua Potable, Considerando Aspectos De Funcionalidad Y Durabilidad”, Prospectiva, 17 (2), 47–52, jul. 2019. doi: 10.15665/rp.v17i2.1732.
A. A. M. Gad y A. E. M. Abd-Elaal, “Practical guidelines for a reliability-based design of building water supply systems”, Urban Water J, 13 (2), 94–107, feb. 2016. doi: 10.1080/1573062X.2014.993995.
R. D. Mangalekar y K. S. Gumaste, “Residential water demand modelling and hydraulic reliability in design of building water supply systems: A review”, Water Science and Technology: Water Supply, 21 (4), 1385–1397, jun. 2021. doi: 10.2166/WS.2021.021.
Z. M. Suarez Verdugo, S. Baudilio, y C. Pabón, “Presence of SARS-CoV-2 (COVID-19) in wastewater and the role of sewage treatment plants in its removal”, Prospectiva, 20 (1), 2216–1368, 2022. doi: 10.15665/rp.v20i1.2711.
A. E. M. Abd-Elaal y A. A. M. Gad, “Improvement of plumbing systems performance using looped water pipe networks within buildings”, Journal of Water Supply: Research and Technology - AQUA, 67 (7), 626–633, nov. 2018. doi: 10.2166/aqua.2018.027.
M. Juszczyk, T. Hanák, M. Výskala, H. Pacyno, y M. Siejda, “Early Fast Cost Estimates of Sewerage Projects Construction Costs Based on Ensembles of Neural Networks”, Applied Sciences, 13 (23), 12744, nov. 2023. doi: 10.3390/app132312744.
A. J. Bester, H. E. Jacobs, y J. Van Der Merwe. (2010). “Unit Cost-Functions for Value Estimation of Waterborne Sewer Infrastructure”. [En línea]. Disponible en: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/266888377
V. Marchionni, N. Lopes, L. Mamouros, y D. Covas, “Modelling Sewer Systems Costs with Multiple Linear Regression”, Water Resources Management, 28 (13), 4415–4431, oct. 2014. doi: 10.1007/s11269-014-0759-z.
V. Marchionni, M. Cabral, C. Amado, y D. Covas, “Estimating Water Supply Infrastructure Cost Using Regression Techniques”, J Water Resour Plan Manag, 142 (4), abr. 2016. doi: 10.1061/(asce)wr.1943-5452.0000627.
B. Balaji, P. Mariappan, y S. Senthamilkumar, “A Cost Estimate Model for Sewerage System”, 10 (8), 3327-3332, may. 2015. https://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/document?repid=rep1&type=pdf&doi=15e9320d635f0d18265e8fa804311221b0a878c6
A. Pinheiro, M. Cabral, S. Antunes, N. Brôco, y D. Covas, “Estimating capital costs of wastewater treatment plants at the strategical level”, Urban Water J, 15 (8), 732–740, sep. 2018. doi: 10.1080/1573062X.2018.1547409.
M. Sueri y M. Erdal, “Early Estimation of Sewerage Line Costs with Regression Analysis”, Gazi University Journal of Science, 35 (3), 822–832, sep. 2022. doi: 10.35378/gujs.949726.
D. Obradović, S. Marenjak, y M. Šperac, “Estimating Maintenance Costs of Sewer System”, Buildings, 13 (2), feb. 2023. doi: 10.3390/buildings13020500.
G. M. Fitzmaurice, “Regression”, Diagn Histopathol, 22 (7), 271–278, 2016, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mpdhp.2016.06.004.
M. Cabral, D. Loureiro, y D. I. C. Covas. (2018). “Statistical modelling of wastewater pumping stations costs”. [En línea]. Disponible en: https://www.researchgate.net/publication/331224367
M. Cabral, D. Loureiro, M. Do Céu Almeida, y D. Covas, “Estimation of costs for monitoring urban water and wastewater networks”, Journal of Water Supply: Research and Technology - AQUA, 68 (2), 87–97, 2019, doi. 10.2166/aqua.2019.043.
V. Marchionni, M. Cabral, C. Amado, y D. Covas, “Water supply infrastructure cost modelling”, Procedia Engineering, 119, 168-173, 2015. doi: 10.1016/j.proeng.2015.08.868.
M. Ardakani, A. Shokry, G. Saki, G. Escudero, M. Graells, y A. Espuña, “Imputation of Missing Data with Ordinary Kriging for Enhancing Fault Detection and Diagnosis”, Computer Aided Chemical Engineering, 38, 1377–1382, 2016. doi: 10.1016/B978-0-444-63428-3.50234-4.
D. N. Gujarati y D. C. Porter, Essentials of econometrics, 4th ed. McGraw Hill International, 2010. [En línea]. Disponible en: https://us.sagepub.com/en-us/nam/essentials-of-econometrics/book265624
T. Sainati, F. Zakaria, G. Locatelli, P. A. Sleigh, y B. Evans, “Understanding the costs of urban sanitation: Towards a standard costing model”, Journal of Water Sanitation and Hygiene for Development, 10 (4), 642–658, 2020. doi: 10.2166/washdev.2020.093.
L. G. Obregon Quiñones, J. C. Pertuz Amaya, y R. A. Domínguez Rambal, “Análisis del desempeño de una torre de enfriamiento a escala de laboratorio para diversos materiales de empaque, temperatura de entrada de agua y relación másica de flujo agua-aire”, Prospectiva, 15 (1), 42–52, feb. 2017. doi: 10.15665/rp.v15i1.820.
T. Shehab, E. Nasr, y M. Farooq, “Conceptual Cost Estimating Model for Water and Sewer Projects”, 4, 367-373, 2014. doi: 10.1061/9780784413692.03
G. K. Mislick y D. A. Nussbaum, Cost Estimation: Methods and Tools. John Wiley & Sons., 2015. [En línea]. Disponible en: https://www.wiley.com/en-in/Cost+Estimation%3A+Methods+and+Tools-p-9781118536131
A. A. Ketema, M. Lechner, S. A. Tilahun, y G. Langergraber, “Development of cost functions for water supply and sanitation technologies: Case study of Bahir Dar and Arba Minch, Ethiopia”, Journal of Water Sanitation and Hygiene for Development, 5 (3), 502–511, ago. 2015. doi: 10.2166/washdev.2015.067.
Downloads
Published
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Carlos Alexis Bonilla Granados, Liseth Yajaira Vaca Caicedo, Lina Gabriela Guerrero Verjel
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
The authors to publish in this journal agree to the following conditions:
- The authors transfer the copyright and give the the journal first publication right of the work registered with Creative Commons Attribution License, which allows third parties to use the published work on the condition of always mentioning the authorship and first publication in this journal.
- The authors may perform other independent and additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the version of the article published in this issue (E.g., Inclusion in an institutional repository or publication in a book), it must be indicated clearly that the work was first published in this journal.
- It allows and encourages the authors to publish their work online (eg institutional or personal pages) before and during the review and publication process. It can lead to productive exchanges and greater and faster dissemination of the published work (see The Effect of Open Access)
Instructions to fill out Certificate of Originality and Copyright Assignment
- Click here and get the forms of Certificate of Originality and Copyright Assignment .
- In each field to fill out, click and complete the corresponding information.
- Once the fields are filled out, at the end of the form copy your scanned signature or digital signature. Please adjust the size of the signature on the form.
- Finally, you can save them as pdf files and send them through the OJS platform as an attachment.
